Posts Tagged ‘2010 Mid-Term Elections’

A Question for solidprinciples.com

Sunday, February 7th, 2010

GREG ASKS: When likely will the 2012 gop candidates start announcing 2012 runs, like between fall thanksgiving 2010 and new years?

There are no real ‘hard and fast’ rules when announcing a Presidential Campaign.   According to Wikipedia, the 2008 Presidential Election saw Democrats Mike Gravel announced on April 17, 2006, followed by Tom Vilsack on November 30, 2006, Dennis Kucinich  December 12, 2006, John Edwards December 28, 2006, Joe Biden January 7, 2007, Chris Dodd January 11, 2007,  Hillary Clinton January 20, 2007, Bill Richardson January 21, 2007 and Barrack Obama February 10, 2007.   Beating the pack was Evan Bayh who announced in the aftermath of Kerry’s defeat in the 2004 election.

On the Republican side: Sam Brownback January 20, 2007,  Duncan Hunter January 23, 2007, Mike Huckabee January 28 2007, Rudy Giuliani February 5, 2007, John McCain February 28, 2007, Ron Paul March 12, 2007, Tommy Thompson April 1, 2007, Tom Tancredo April 2, 2007, Jim Gilmore April 26, 2007, Fred Thompson September 5, 2007, Alan Keyes September 14, 2007 and Mitt Romney February 7, 2008.

Going by this data (one has to consider this election involved a retiring President), the opposition party tend to announce after the Mid-Terms up to February the following year.  The incumbent party candidates usually announced the following year.  Another factor to consider is that the Democrats gained both houses during the 2006 Midterms.   This had a tendency to push forward Presidential announcements to take full advantage of the Mid-Terms victory momentum.  Meaning, Republican Presidential candidates speculation could be touted closer to the 2010 Mid-Terms.

Craig Edwards

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Posted in 2010 Elections, 2012 Elections | No Comments »

Kirk Gains GOP Nomination for Illinois Senate Seat

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

CHICAGO (AP) — Republican Mark Kirk has won a chance to try to take President Barack Obama’s old Senate seat away from Democrats.

GOP voters nominated the five-term congressman Tuesday. With 64 percent of precincts reporting, Kirk had 234,277 votes, or 58 percent.

Republicans have targeted the seat since then-Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich was arrested for trying to sell it more than a year ago. Blagojevich eventually appointed Roland Burris, who didn’t run for a full term.

Illinois is being even more closely watched after an upset win by the GOP in Massachusetts that cost Democrats the late Sen. Edward Kennedy’s seat.

The leading Democratic contenders are Illinois Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, former Chicago inspector general David Hoffman and Chicago Urban League chief Cheryle Jackson.

Read More at AP/LA Times

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Posted in 2010 Elections, Barack Obama | No Comments »

SOLID PRINCIPLES PODCAST: Episode 19

Wednesday, January 20th, 2010


SOLID PRINCIPLES PODCAST: Episode 19

The Colleen O’Connor Interview OR A funny thing happened on the way to the Senate in Massachusetts: A rare interview with San Diego News Network political columnist and professor Colleen O’Connor on the subject of Obama, The Massachusetts Special Senate Election and The California Gubernatorial Race.

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Posted in Podcast | 2 Comments »

Senate Dems to W.H.: Drop cap-and-trade

Sunday, December 27th, 2009

Bruised by the health care debate and worried about what 2010 will bring, moderate Senate Democrats are urging the White House to give up now on any effort to pass a cap-and-trade bill next year.

“I am communicating that in every way I know how,” says Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), one of at least half a dozen Democrats who’ve told the White House or their own leaders that it’s time to jettison the centerpiece of their party’s plan to curb global warming.

The creation of an economy-wide market for greenhouse gas emissions is as the heart of the climate bill that cleared the House earlier this year. But with the health care fight still raging and the economy still hurting, moderate Democrats have little appetite for another sweeping initiative — especially another one likely to pass with little or no Republican support.

“We need to deal with the phenomena of global warming, but I think it’s very difficult in the kind of economic circumstances we have right now,” said Indiana Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh, who called passage of any economy-wide cap and trade “unlikely.”?

At a meeting about health care last month, moderates pushed to table climate legislation in favor of a jobs bill that would be an easier sell during the 2010 elections, according to Senate Democratic aides.

“I’d just as soon see that set aside until we work through the economy,” said Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.). ?“What we don’t want to do is have anything get in the way of working to resolve the problems with the economy.”

“Climate change in an election year has very poor prospects,” added Sen. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.). “I’ve told that to the leadership.”

Read more at Politico…..

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30984.html

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Posted in 2010 Elections, Business, Congress, Economy, Energy Issues, Solid Principles | No Comments »

Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Obama Support Craters!

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

Rasmussen-Reports

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 23% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19.

Rasmussen obama_approval_index_december_13_2009

Today is the second straight day that Obama’s Approval Index rating has fallen to a new low. Prior to the past two days, the Approval Index had never fallen below -15 during Obama’s time in office (see trends).

The 23% who Strongly Approve matches the lowest level of enthusiasm yet recorded. Just 41% of Democrats Strongly Approve while 69% of Republicans Strongly Disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 21% Strongly Approve and 49% Strongly Disapprove.

Among those who consider the economy to be the most important issue, just 26% Strongly Approve of the President’s performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

Among those who consider fiscal policy issues the most important, just 1% Strongly Approve and 81% Strongly Disapprove.

The President’s Approval Index rating is -2 among voters under 30 and -29 among senior citizens. From an income perspective, the President’s ratings are weakest among those who earn $40,000 to $100,000 annually.

Read more at rasmussenreports.com

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Posted in 2010 Elections, 2012 Elections, Barack Obama, Guess Who Isn't Going Well in the Polls, Rasmussen Reports, Solid Principles | 1 Comment »

Can Republicans Retake the Senate in 2010?

Thursday, December 10th, 2009
HELP IS ON THE WAY!

HELP IS ON THE WAY!

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870

4240504574585921173928460.html

By KARL ROVE

Democrats began the year as masters of the political universe, winning the White House and increasing their majorities in Congress. But the year is ending badly for them. Their top initiative, health care, is deeply unpopular. Congress’s approval rating is 26%, Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s is 28%, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s is an anemic 14%.

Political currents are running against the party of Barack Obama. Democrats now trail Republicans by four points in Gallup’s generic ballot poll. In 1994, the year the GOP took control of Congress, it wasn’t until March that Republicans took the lead in that poll—and then only by one point and for a short period of time.

With a good environment this election cycle, Republicans have recruited competitive candidates who could turn otherwise close contests into runaway victories, likely defeats into wins or at least close contests that, if things break right, tip to the GOP.

Today, there are only 40 Republicans in the Senate. In January 2011, there could be 44, 46 or more if the party runs strong campaigns in contests that haven’t jelled yet, or if some Democrats retire instead of risking defeat.

One feature giving Republicans an edge is that several senate seats are up for grabs because the politicians who were elected to fill them are now serving in the Obama administration. This includes seats formerly held by Mr. Obama and Vice President Joe Biden.

Read more at online.wsj.com…..

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Posted in 2010 Elections, Barack Obama, Blue Dog Democrats, Congress, Democrats, Gallup Poll, Nancy Pelosi, Republicans, Solid Principles | No Comments »

SOLID PRINCIPLES PODCAST Episode 14

Thursday, October 29th, 2009

SOLID PRINCIPLES PODCAST: Episode 14

Reid Between The Lines: As Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid pushes the Obama Administration agenda through the Senate, his approval rating back in Nevada tumbles.   The shift towards the Republican Party may see Sen. Reid struggle to hold onto his Senate seat in 2010. One of the many GOP Senate hopefuls is Nevada Attorney and Real Estate Developer Danny Tarkanian. As part of our 2010 Contenders Series on Solid Principles, we speak with Tarkanian about his challenge to Sen. Harry Reid’s seat in 2010.

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Posted in Podcast | 1 Comment »

SOLID PRINCIPLES PODCAST Episode 12

Tuesday, October 13th, 2009

SOLID PRINCIPLES PODCAST: Episode 12

The Bennett Factor: Utah is shaping up to be one of the more interesting battles in The 2010 Midterm Elections. Current Republican Senate incumbent Sen. Bob Bennett, now faces a number of fellow Republican challengers including Utah Attorney General Mark Shurtleff.   On this edition, Solid Principles speaks to A.G Shurtleff extensively about his campaign for Senate.

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Bill Clinton: ‘10 won’t be ‘94 takeover redux

Monday, September 28th, 2009

Bwaa Haa Haa Haa Haa Haa!!!!!!

Bill Clinton “doesn’t expect a repeat of the 1994 Republican takeover in next year’s midterm elections.”

He didn’t expect it in 1994 either, but he and his party got their clocks cleaned anyway.

The Dems didn’t expect the Tea Parties, didn’t expect the reception they got at the Townhall meetings, didn’t expect 2 million people to show up in Washington, didn’t expect ACORN to be exposed, didn’t expect Van Jones to be booted out of government and didn’t expect Cap & Trade and Health Care to be on life support at this late date.

With that record of prognostication, wouldn’t Clinton and the rest of the Dems be the last people that you would walk up to at a cocktail party and say: “Hey, what do you like it the market?”

~~John Cronin~~

NewPolitico_Logo

By JOHN BRESNAHAN

Former President Bill Clinton said Sunday that Republican attacks have hurt President Barack Obama and the congressional Democrats, but he doesn’t expect a repeat of the 1994 Republican takeover in next year’s midterm elections.

During an appearance on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Clinton said, “There’s no way they can make it that bad.”

“No. 1, the country is more diverse and more interested in positive action,” Clinton said. “No. 2, they’ve [the American public] seen this movie before, because they had eight years under President [George W.] Bush when the Republicans finally had the whole government, and they know the results were bad. And— No. 3 —the Democrats haven’t taken on the gun lobby like I did, and they took 15 of our members out. So I don’t think — it’ll be, whatever happens, it’ll be manageable for the president.”

While Clinton came into office with a Democratic majority in 1992, Republicans romped to huge political victories in ’94, winning a majority in the House for the first time in 40 years. Throughout the rest of his years in office, Clinton faced a Republican congressional leadership that mistrusted and disliked him, helping to lead to his 1998 impeachment for the Monica Lewinsky scandal.

Read more at Politico

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Posted in Barack Obama, Congress, Conservatism, Democrats, Health Care, House Of Reps, Republicans, Solid Principles, Tea Parties | 1 Comment »

Cook Political Report: ‘A dangerous slide’ for Democrats

Friday, September 4th, 2009

The highly respected Cook Political Report is predicting the possibility that the party of Hope and Change better hope that irate voters don’t change party preferences by turning 20 plus Dems out to pasture come Nov. 2010.

~~John Cronin~~

NewPolitico_Logo

By Josh Kraushaar

On the heels of predicting that House Democrats could lose 20 or more seats in next year’s midterm elections, the Cook Political Report is continuing to ring the alarm bells for the majority party.

“No question, August proved cathartic for voters and chaotic for congressional Democrats. But way before the town hall meetings during recess, there were ample signs for Democrats to fear for their careers in 2010,” wrote Cook Political Report House analyst David Wasserman.

“Even if Obama and Democrats are just as popular next November as they were last November, they might stand to lose five to ten seats in the House based on the altered composition of the midterm electorate alone. The latest public opinion diagnostics, however, point to a dangerous slide. As voters’ views of Obama and Democrats’ handling of health care has dimmed, their inclination to elect Democrats to Congress has waned.”

Wasserman noted that 2010 could shape up to be the election of “angry white seniors” who are the least supportive of President Obama’s domestic agenda and are poised to turn out in large numbers to the polls to express their displeasure next year.

For any Democrat representing a swing district filled with seniors – think Reps. John Adler (D-N.J.), Jason Altmire (D-Pa.) or Kathy Dahlkemper (D-Pa.), to name a few – the downturn could be especially worrisome.

But as Wasserman noted in an interview with POLITICO this week, red-district Democrats who are able to effectively distance themselves from the administration are the ones most likely to survive a down year.

“It goes to show that voting behavior in Congress matters at the end of the day.” Wasserman said. “Right now, we’re looking at a wave cycle, but the question is will it be a small wave or a major wave. And it matters how these freshman and sophomore members vote to determine how big a wave it will be.”

POLITICO

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Posted in Congress, Democrats, Solid Principles | No Comments »