Insiders: 90 percent predict contested GOP convention

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Republican insiders overwhelmingly believe this summer’s national convention will require multiple ballots to select the presidential nominee.

That’s according to The POLITICO Caucus — a panel of operatives, activists and strategists in 10 key battleground states — with roughly 90 percent of respondents saying neither Donald Trump nor Ted Cruz will win the nomination on the first ballot in Cleveland.

It’s a marked shift from a month ago, when just half of insiders were predicting a contested convention. Since that time, Trump has romped to victory in states that awarded all their delegates to the winner, like Florida and Arizona. But Cruz bounced back this week in Wisconsin — and is also dominating in states like North Dakota, Colorado and Wyoming, where party insiders, not rank-and-file voters, pick the delegates.

Cruz’s victory in Wisconsin, where he won 36 of the 42 delegates at stake, narrows Trump’s path to the nomination. Trump’s path is also impaired by his precipitous fall in national polling, which hurts the New York real estate tycoon’s standing among both Republican voters and convention delegates who want to nominate a strong general-election candidate.

“Donald Trump has one chance to win the nomination, and that is on the first ballot. Right now, I put his chances at about 40 percent, and that will require him to get some number of delegates from the unpledged delegates in states like North Dakota, Colorado, Pennsylvania, and a few territories,” said an Iowa Republican, who, like all respondents, completed the survey anonymously.

But while that Iowa Republican sees Trump performing well in upcoming primaries in New York, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and other Northeastern states later this month, the Republican warned that the map is less favorable in May.

 

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/insiders-90-percent-predict-contested-gop-convention-221696#ixzz45LuCrCFC
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Posted in 2016 Presidential Primaries, 2016 Presidential Race, 2016 Republican Presidential Race, Caucuses & Primaries, Politico, Republican Presidential Race, Sen. Ted Cruz | Tagged as: , , , , , , , , , ,

Obama: Trump doesn’t understand foreign policy

When I saw the above headline, my jaw dropped a half inch.  Obama is criticizing Trump for not understanding foreign policy!!!  Are you kidding me!!!

I don’t think Mr. Trump has much of a grasp on macro-policy, although I think he is right on some micro-policies, i.e. on not only refusing to close Gitmo, but to “load it up with bad dudes.”

But the world class chutzpah it takes for the amateurish Obama to lecture anyone, anyone, on foreign policy after the string of Middle Eastern and North African disasters he has left in his wake….it’s almost beyond comprehension that this poor, confused, befuddled man still has the temerity to say a single word about foreign policy!!

I am looking forward to January 2017 when the moving trucks pull into the White House compound and start loading up his furniture and other possessions.  Hopefully, Bill and Hill wouldn’t have their trucks parked a few blocks away, awaiting their triumphant return to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.

 

John Cronin

 

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By Eliza Collins

Donald Trump’s recent statement that Japan and South Korea should be allowed to manufacture their own nuclear bombs shows that he “doesn’t know much about foreign policy,” President Barack Obama said Friday.

Obama was speaking to the media at the end of the Nuclear Security Summit when he was asked about Trump saying that he wouldn’t take anything off the table, including using nuclear weapons in Europe and allowing Japan and South Korea to have such weapons to deter North Korea.

“They tell us the person who made the statements doesn’t know much about foreign policy or nuclear policy or the Korean peninsula or the world generally,” Obama said, adding that Trump’s comments came up “on the sidelines” of the summit.

“I’ve said before that, you know, people pay attention to American elections. What we do is really important to the rest of the world,” Obama said.

Obama called the alliance with Japan and South Korea “one of the cornerstones of our presence in the Asia-Pacific region.”

“It has been an enormous boon to American commerce and American influence. And it has prevented the possibilities of a nuclear escalation and conflict between countries that in the past and throughout history have been engaged in hugely destructive conflicts and controversies. So you don’t mess with that,” Obama said. “We don’t want somebody in the Oval Office who doesn’t recognize how important that is.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/obama-trump-foreign-policy-221482#ixzz44nFerr6R
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Posted in 2016 Presidential Race, 2016 Republican Presidential Race, Barack Obama, Foreign Policy, Hillary Clinton, Politico, Republican Presidential Race | Tagged as: , , , , , , ,

Ramirez Cartoon: The Difference Between Capitalism and Communism

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Political Cartoons: Michael Ramirez……Obama Does the Tango

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Easter Sunday HD Catholic Online

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Castros welcome Obama to Cuba with a slap in the face

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Marc Thiessen   Washington Post

President Obama went sightseeing in Old Havana, savoring the adulation of pro-regime crowds welcoming him on streets that had been whitewashed for his visit. But a few hours before his arrival, the true nature of the dictatorship he is embracing reared its ugly head, as hundreds of uniformed security personnel attacked and arrested peaceful protesters leaving Palm Sunday Mass.

A group of dissidents known as the Ladies in White was met outside Havana’s Santa Rita church by an organized crowd of Castro loyalists shouting insults and revolutionary slogans. Then, The Post reports, Castro’s secret police pounced on the women and “half-dragged, half-carried them to waiting buses,” while men marching with the women “were chased, thrown to the curb and handcuffed.” As they were arrested, the crowd chanted “This is Fidel’s street!”

This was a slap in the face to President Obama — a display intended to send a clear message that, despite his normalization of relations, nothing has changed in Cuba.

How little respect do the Castro brothers have for Obama? This month, deputy national security adviser Ben Rhodes met in Miami with Carlos Amel Oliva, head of the youth wing of a major dissident organization on the island. When Oliva returned to Cuba, he was detained by the regime for “antisocial behavior.” His was just one of 526 political detentions in the first two weeks of March leading up to Obama’s trip.

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Why Israel Loves Donald Trump… and why that’s awkward for Israel.

Trump Israel

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By Gregg Carlstrom   

 

TEL AVIV — This might be the most surprising poll from a wild, unpredictable 2016 campaign: One in four Israeli Jews would vote for Donald Trump.

The real estate mogul does not have a coherent position on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, except to break with decades of Republican orthodoxy and announce that he would be “neutral.” His GOP rivals repeated that line endlessly, hoping it would blunt Trump’s rise in the polls. It didn’t.

His campaign, run in the style of an authoritarian strongman, has earned him sharp criticism from American Jews, the largest Jewish community outside of Israel. And his backers include a former leader of the Ku Klux Klan who hopes Trump will “rehabilitate” Hitler’s image, a statement that ought to give pause to anyone in Israel. Indeed, the big question looming over this week’s American Israel Public Affairs Committee convention is just how many delegates will walk out during Trump’s speech.

Yet, a recent poll found Trump was by far Israel’s favorite GOP candidate, and the second-most popular overall. A plurality even thought he would be best at “representing Israel’s interests,” better than Hillary Clinton, with her decades of advocacy at the highest levels of government.

Those numbers could rise further still, after a spate of positive coverage in Israel’s most widely read newspaper, Israel HaYom, owned by billionaire casino magnate Sheldon Adelson. After months of scant coverage, the shift is a sign that Adelson—a major force in both Israeli and American politics—is reluctantly embracing Trump.

All of this presents a major dilemma for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has worked for years to align Israel with the GOP. The party’s presumptive nominee is now being spurned by the same establishment figures, men like Sens. John McCain and Lindsey Graham, who make up Netanyahu’s “base” in Washington. Trump has no emotional attachment to Israel. And his success has upended the long-held belief that Republican voters care deeply about a candidate’s position on Israel.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/03/donald-trump-israel-2016-netanyahu-213748#ixzz43YpWnTIg
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Posted in 2016 Presidential Primaries, 2016 Presidential Race, 2016 Republican Presidential Race, Benjamin Netanyahu, Donald Trump, Foreign Policy, Foreign Politics, GOP, Israel, Middle East, Politico, Republican Presidential Race, Republicans | Tagged as: , , , , , , , , ,

Real Clear Politics: Presidential Polls

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Political Cartoons: Michael Ramirez….Hillary Didn’t Lose A Single Person In Libya

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McConnell: No lame-duck vote on Garland

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Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell ruled out the possibility on Sunday of a Supreme Court nomination hearing and confirmation during the lame-duck session. | Getty

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell ruled out the possibility on Sunday of a Supreme Court nomination hearing and confirmation during the lame-duck session. | Getty

He said that will be the case even if a Democrat is elected president

By David Cohen

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Sunday that he wouldn’t consider holding a vote on Merrick Garland’s nomination in a post-election congressional session even if a Democrat were to be elected president.

McConnell (R-Ky.) had previously said he would not move on Garland’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court — a hard-line stance he reaffirmed on multiple Sunday morning TV shows — but there had been speculation that Republicans in the Senate might relent after the November election, particularly if it were clear that another Democrat would be occupying the White House.

Speaking to Dana Bash on CNN’s “State of the Union,” McConnell indicated that is not the case.

“I can’t imagine that a Republican-majority Congress in a lame-duck session, after the American people have spoken, would want to confirm a nominee opposed by the NRA, the NFIB, and [who] The New York Times says would move the court dramatically to the left,” McConnell said, referring to the National Rifle Association and the National Federation of Independent Business.

When Bash followed up by asking McConnell whether he is ruling it out 100 percent, he replied: “Yes.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/mcconnell-no-lame-duck-vote-on-garland-221006#ixzz43TERgEsB
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Posted in 2016 Presidential Race, Mitch McConnell, Politico, Senate, Supreme Court | Tagged as: , , , , , , ,